The Frontier Labs' Real Business Model

An agentic systems thesis on whether frontier labs can be profitable.

The views and opinions expressed in this article are my own and do not represent those of my employer.

Built on Karpathy's BLS visualizer. Same Bureau of Labor Statistics dataset; filtered to high-digital-exposure occupations; recoloured by tier.

Methodology: the LLM prompts behind this map, on Karpathy's BLS pipeline.

Tier breakdown of US knowledge work

Each rectangle is one US occupation; area = total employment. Color = tier in the framework above. Filtered to jobs with high digital exposure (Karpathy AI Exposure ≥ 7). Click any tile to view the BLS page; hover for the tier rationale.

jobs across occupations

Each tier at a glance